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An Independent Archive · Established 2025
The Manifest Archive
By Jerry
Jerry van der Laan
Author · Chapters

Jerry van der Laan

Jerry van der Laan is an independent analyst and the author of The Manifest Archive. He reconstructs how energy, money and state power interact from public data and primary documents.

Netherlands

Everyone Is Watching the 5.34% Treasury Yield. Nobody Is Watching When America Has to Pay It.
№ 1

Everyone Is Watching the 5.34% Treasury Yield. Nobody Is Watching When America Has to Pay It.

Oil pushed up the price of new money. What it does to old debt depends on a refinancing calendar.

Financial Architecture Oct 1, 2026
When Physical Skill Becomes Software: The Hidden Economics of Humanoid Robots
№ 2

When Physical Skill Becomes Software: The Hidden Economics of Humanoid Robots

Every robot has to be built one at a time. Its skills may not.

Surveillance, Tech & Intelligence Sep 30, 2026
Europe Stopped Buying Russian Diesel. Then Its Replacement Went to War.
№ 3

Europe Stopped Buying Russian Diesel. Then Its Replacement Went to War.

Europe moved its diesel dependency from Russian refineries to Gulf ones, and the war found it.

Geopolitics Sep 29, 2026
Everyone Is Watching the Rogue AI Agents. Nobody Is Watching Who Gets Access.
№ 4

Everyone Is Watching the Rogue AI Agents. Nobody Is Watching Who Gets Access.

The rules for dangerous AI were written before the incidents that now justify them, and they bend in only one direction.

Surveillance, Tech & Intelligence Sep 28, 2026
Trump Didn't Buy Greenland. He Bought Its Future Foreign Policy.
№ 5

Trump Didn't Buy Greenland. He Bought Its Future Foreign Policy.

The September treaty left the island Danish, and wrote down in advance what an independent Greenland will be allowed to choose.

Geopolitics Sep 27, 2026
Russia Has Never Hit the Polish Airfield That Arms Ukraine. The Retaliation Went Somewhere Else.
№ 6

Russia Has Never Hit the Polish Airfield That Arms Ukraine. The Retaliation Went Somewhere Else.

Four years of weapons crossed this runway. Where the answer landed, and why it never landed here.

Geopolitics Sep 26, 2026
BRICS Has No Gold Plan. Russia Is Selling, Poland Is Buying, and China Won't Say.
№ 7

BRICS Has No Gold Plan. Russia Is Selling, Poland Is Buying, and China Won't Say.

Why the great flight into gold is a set of national hedges, and why the vault now matters more than the bloc.

Financial Architecture Sep 25, 2026
Trump Says the Barrels Are Back. His Own Energy Secretary Just Said They Aren't.
№ 8

Trump Says the Barrels Are Back. His Own Energy Secretary Just Said They Aren't.

How six months of war left its most basic fact unverifiable.

Geopolitics Sep 23, 2026
Ratcliffe Warned Russia Not to Attack NATO. Rheinmetall's Investors Had Already Priced the Threat.
№ 9

Ratcliffe Warned Russia Not to Attack NATO. Rheinmetall's Investors Had Already Priced the Threat.

A CIA director's quiet warning, a summit pledge dated 2035, and a valuation that stopped waiting for either one.

Geopolitics Sep 22, 2026
George Joannides Has Been Dead Since 1990. His CIA File Outlived the Law Meant to Open It.
№ 10

George Joannides Has Been Dead Since 1990. His CIA File Outlived the Law Meant to Open It.

Congress gave JFK secrecy a twenty-five-year deadline. Two administrations extended the exception. A third discovered the archive still wasn't finished.

Surveillance, Tech & Intelligence Sep 21, 2026
NATO Still Decides War Together. The Border No Longer Waits for the Decision.
№ 11

NATO Still Decides War Together. The Border No Longer Waits for the Decision.

Along NATO's eastern border, classification now takes seconds. Attribution still takes weeks.

Geopolitics Sep 20, 2026
NATO 3.0 Named the Dependency. The Metrics Measure Spending.
№ 12

NATO 3.0 Named the Dependency. The Metrics Measure Spending.

How Europe's procurement dependency on American weapons deepened during the rearmament that was meant to reduce it.

Geopolitics Sep 19, 2026