Mark Rutte and the Lethal Certainty of War
How estimates become facts, language becomes policy, and uncertainty is compressed into a certainty that drains away the time in which a war might still be stopped.
Geopolitics is rarely decided by events. It is decided by the architecture beneath them: NATO's eastward expansion, Russia and China cast as the designated adversaries, and Iran at the Strait of Hormuz, the chokepoint that prices every crisis. These chapters trace the energy corridors, sanctions regimes and strategic competition that outlast whoever holds office.